Prognostic strength of CA 19-9, demographic parameters, and maximum standardized uptake value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT in treatment-naïve patients with pancreatic carcinoma
Document Type
Article
Department
Radiology; Radiation Oncology
Abstract
Aim and background: The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of imaging-based variables and tumor marker in predicting the progression-free survival (PFS) in treatment-naïve pancreatic cancer (PC) using baseline 18-fluorodeoxyglucose (18FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT).
Materials and methods: This retro-prospective study was conducted at PET/CT imaging facility of JCIA health-care facility of Pakistan. Total 68 patients with PCs were retrospectively included who had 18FDG PET/CT for staging from March 2017 to December 2020. Thirty-two patients had unresectable Stage IV disease on baseline imaging while the remaining 36 underwent Whipple's procedure and both categories were followed by chemotherapy with/without immunotherapy. These patients were followed for a median period of 18 months (1-62 months) for PFS. Logistic regression analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis were used for independent predictors of patients' demographics, tumor characteristics, CA 19-9, and maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) in PFS. Kaplan-Meier's survival curves were analyzed to measure PFS using ROC-derived significant cutoff values of CA 19-9 and SUVmax.
Results: Median PFS was 18 months (11-45) with 60% (41/68) patients were either died or labelled having metabolic progressive disease (MPD. Using logistic regression analysis, significant correlations were found for Stage IV disease and pancreatic body/tail tumor with disease progression (odd ratio: 7.535 and 4.803, respectively; P < 0.05). Gender, obesity, histological tumor type, and 18FDG-avid regional nodes did not show a significant impact on PFS. On ROC analysis, SUVmax >5.3 of primary tumor and baseline CA 19-9 >197 U/ml were found to have a significant negative correlation with PFS (area under the curve: 0.827 and 0.911, respectively; P < 0.0001) and no association of age and primary tumor size in PFS. Significantly, shorter PFS was found using ROC-derived cutoff values of SUVmax >5.3 versus ≤5.3 of primary tumor (mean and 95% confidence interval [CI]: 16.7 vs. 48.5 and 10-23 vs. 41-56; log-rank = 25.014; P < 0.0001) and baseline CA 19-9 >197 versus ≤197 U/ml (mean and 95% CI: 11.8 vs. 46.9 and 7-16 vs. 39-55; log-rank = 38.217; P < 0.0001).
Conclusion: SUVmax >5.3 of primary tumor and baseline CA 19-9 >197 U/ml were found to have a significant negative correlation with PFS in treatment-naïve PC patients. Among demographics, only Stage IV disease and pancreatic tail and body tumors were found to have a negative association with disease progression.
Publication (Name of Journal)
Indian Journal of Nuclear Medicine
DOI
10.4103/ijnm.ijnm_6_23
Recommended Citation
Fatima, N.,
Zaman, U.,
Zaman, A.,
Zaman, S.,
Tehseen, R.,
Uz Zaman, M.
(2024). Prognostic strength of CA 19-9, demographic parameters, and maximum standardized uptake value of baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT in treatment-naïve patients with pancreatic carcinoma. Indian Journal of Nuclear Medicine, 39(2), 77-82.
Available at:
https://ecommons.aku.edu/pakistan_fhs_mc_radiol/520