Document Type

Article

Department

Brain and Mind Institute

Abstract

Background: The 2024 Lancet Commission on Dementia Prevention identified alcoholconsumption as a risk factor contributing to a global increase in dementia cases by onepercent.

Method: We used a panel VAR model to analyze the impact of alcohol consumption ondementia prevalence in 13 developing countries with different alcohol tax systems.

Result: In countries with progressive alcohol tax systems, an increase in taxes onbeer and spirits leads to a 10 percent reduction in per capita alcohol consumption.This decline corresponds to a 4 percent reduction in dementia prevalence within fouryears. In countries with hybrid alcohol tax systems, a combination of alcohol bansand tax increases results in a 12 percent decrease in per capita alcohol consumption,which corresponds to a 30 percent reduction in dementia prevalence within four years.Conversely, in countries with regressive alcohol tax systems, taxes on spirits or beerdo not decrease per capita alcohol consumption. In this group of countries, the rise inalcohol consumption per capita leads to an 8 percent increase in dementia prevalence.

Conclusion: The commission’s claim that alcohol control could lead to a one percentimprovement in global dementia rates is questionable. Countries with progressive andhybrid alcohol tax systems show outcomes that exceed this one percent threshold

AKU Student

no

Publication (Name of Journal)

Alzheimer's & Dementia

DOI

https://doi.org/10.1002/alz70858_096932

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

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